Random Forest Nowcast and Forecast

Boosted Trees Nowcast and Forecast

Maxnet Trees Nowcast and Forecast

GAM Nowcast and Forecast

GLM Nowcast and Forecast

Metrics

Metrics by model type
model_type accuracy boyce_cont roc_auc tss_max
rf 0.9436242 0.9626370 0.9938041 0.9496735
bt 0.7906040 0.9577528 0.8724653 0.5711837
maxnet 0.6657718 0.9052342 0.7825143 0.4650612
gam NA NA NA 0.5099184
glm NA NA NA 0.4544898

Variable Importance